Markets
M. Caicedo leads XAGON player-value movers as the median estimate rises
M. Caicedo's median XAGON estimate rises 46.9% on 1 November 2026. The latest XAGON value model places the median at €59.2 million, inside a range of €5.2 million to €376.4 million. Uncertainty is HIGH.
Published 2026-11-01T20:48:32.380000Z · Updated 2026-11-01T22:36:05.280000Z
M. Caicedo's median public-value estimate rises 46.9% in the XAGON update dated 1 November 2026. The current median is €59.2 million. The band is wide, so the median is not a precise valuation.
Why it matters
A move of this size changes where M. Caicedo sits among published player-value movers. It does not turn the median into a completed transfer or a narrow appraisal. The useful reading is the median, the range around it, and how unusual that range is.
The numbers
| Reading | Estimate |
|---|---|
| P10 | €5.2 million |
| Median (P50) | €59.2 million |
| P90 | €376.4 million |
| Change | 46.9% |
| Dispersion | 6.3 |
| Uncertainty | HIGH |
Dispersion is (P90 − P10) / P50, method band-ratio-v1. A HIGH class means the band is at least twice the median.
What changed
Against the previous point on the same series, the median rises 46.9%. The previous median on the same series was €40.3 million. The figures are model estimates from public data, denominated in euros, for Chelsea in Premier League.
Model view
The latest XAGON value model places the median at €59.2 million, inside a P10–P90 range of €5.2 million to €376.4 million. Because that range is high-uncertainty, a reader should treat the median as a central estimate with substantial dispersion, not as a narrow appraisal.
Context
The comparison is with other players on the same published board, not with a private valuation or a completed transfer. Nothing in this story asserts a cause beyond the change between the last two points of the series.
Methodology
The desk is automated. Every number above is taken from the stored value series and checked again before publication. How the XAGON Markets Desk works.